Evidence: the less press freedom there is in a country, the less noise there is in the country's #SARSCoV2 daily infection counts. This is statistically significant at the p < 0.05 level.
Interpretation: less press freedom => more faking of "open" governmental data: SARS-CoV-2 counts.
Comments welcome on draft revision (81da1ae): https://upload.disroot.org/r/30FUcbz0#UMQDmAL99KVMezwpSP8MvfU44cp9Ma4Tui0l52DhICc=
@boud Thank you for using hard data to verify and confirm what a year ago was only an intuitive assessment:
Back then, you pointed out that I underestimated the difference between population and case mortality rates. In US, we so far had ~30M COVID cases and ~600k deaths – case mortality rate ~1.9%. The 3% I assumed in my projection of 18M cases and 900k deaths by July 2021 is not that far off, but it is now evident that mortality rate will keep going down.
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