framapiaf.org est l'un des nombreux serveurs Mastodon indépendants que vous pouvez utiliser pour participer au fédiverse.
Un service Mastodon fourni par l'association d’éducation populaire Framasoft.

Administré par :

Statistiques du serveur :

1,4K
comptes actifs

#recession

202 messages81 participants3 messages aujourd’hui

My hot take about the "#GlobalMarkets" is that a lot of #financing is hidden behind the scenes to prevent #global #FinancialCollapse.

In essence #darkpools and #InsiderTrading hides what is a balloon full of hot air, whereby the job of the #FinancingIndustry is to keep the slight of hand game up in order to stave off #recession.

Basically #Trump knows this and has the financing industry by the ghoulies, which is why he hasn't been #JFK'd, because you do not want his bookkeeping to get out.

#30DayChartChallenge Día 12: Gov Data Day! 🏛️ Explorando la distribución del spread 10Y-2Y del Tesoro USA (datos de FRED desde 1976).

Este histograma/densidad va más allá del valor diario: muestra la *probabilidad* histórica de cada nivel del spread. ¡Clave para entender expectativas económicas!

Puntos clave:
* Modo principal > 0 (curva normal es lo más común).
* ¡La inversión (<0, línea discontinua) tiene una probabilidad no trivial! ⚠️ Es la famosa señal pre-recesión. La distribución nos dice cuán "normal" es esa señal en perspectiva histórica.
* La forma general revela info sobre la dinámica de tipos.

Una visualización sobre la estructura probabilística de un indicador líder fundamental.

🛠️ #rstats #ggplot2 #quantmod #grid
📂 Código/Repo: t.ly/0RDmK

Alrighty Then!

Treasury yields spiking—exact opposite of Trump's desired lower rates.

10Y hitting 4.5%, 30Y approaching 5%

This signals a confidence crisis. #Markets are demanding higher returns on #US #debt amid geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainty.

Not just #market #volatility—this threatens America's economic credibility on the world stage. Trump's unpredictable policies appear to be backfiring in real time.

The CAB is full of sycophants & loyalists -willing to defend contradictory policies, even if -look like fools. Courts: haven’t decisively intervened. No one, apparently, is willing to prevent Trump from destroying the world #economy, wrecking FIN markets, forcing the US +other Cs into #recession if that’s what he feels like doing when he gets up.

Trump just gave us a pitch-perfect demo of why legs. are nec, ✔️s & ⚖️s are useful, dict'shps: poor & corrupt...

#Resist #USPol🎁theatlantic.com/politics/archi

The Atlantic · This Is Why Dictatorships FailPar Anne Applebaum

The big little secret is now dripping out in public: Trump's getting ready to exempt farm workers from his deportation raids.

The admin has had to slow down or even abandon indiv deportations in the face of strong popular resistance -signaling another exception.

They may keep their jobs, but they'll lose their health INSUR, ability to afford rent & groceries... bc R MOC have endorsed Trump's tariffs➡️ #stagflation #recession, will defund MDCD, social safety net...
#USPol thebulwark.com/p/farmers-try-t

The Bulwark · Farmers Try to Keep Food on the Table Despite TrumpPar Adrian Carrasquillo
Suite du fil

“In the last few days, we have had many conversations with macro #fund managers,” wrote Tom Lee, the head of research at the #financial analysis firm FSInsights.

“And their concern is that the White House is not acting rationally, but rather on ideology. And some even fear that this may not even be ideology,” Lee continued. “A few have quietly wondered if the President might be #insane.”

#Trump#USpol#insanity

What show have they been watching for the last 9 years?

Fund managers quietly fear #Trump doesn’t have a #tariff plan & that he ‘might be insane’

Some fund managers concerned ‘that the White House is not acting rationally, but rather on ideology. And some even fear that this may not even be ideology’

#USpol #insanity #economy #tariffs #inflation #recession #idiocracy #kakistocracy
newrepublic.com/post/193805/do

The New Republic · Fund Managers Worry Trump Might Be “Insane”Donald Trump’s moves are making people who actually understand the economy very nervous.

#WallStreet continues fall

Wall Street's indexes opened lower on Friday as #markets assessed the latest escalation in #Trump’s #TradeWar, with #China increasing its #tariffs on #US imports to 125%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 100.2 points, or 0.25%, at the open to 39493.42.
The S&P 500 fell 12.5 points, or 0.24%, at the open to 5255.56​, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 28.8 points, or 0.18%, to 16358.532 at the opening bell.